CDFA Releases 2025/2026 Navel Crop Estimate

Today, the California Department of Food and Agriculture (CDFA), in cooperation with the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), released its 2025/2026 California Navel Orange Objective Measurement Report. The initial estimate is 80.0 million cartons, up 2 million cartons from last year’s estimate. The forecast includes Bloods and Cara Caras. Some highlights from the report include:

  • Forecasted utilized production exceeds last year’s final production by approximately 4,000,000 cartons
  • The average fruit set per tree is 375, down 9% from the previous year; however, the average diameter from the survey was 2.179 inches, up 6% from last year, likely helped by favorable growing conditions throughout the summer.
  • Bearing acreage is down compared to last year at an estimated at 109,000, which results in a forecasted yield of 734 cartons per acre.

 2025-26 California Navel Orange Objective Measurement Report 

We encourage you to review the estimate and compare it with what you’re seeing in your own fields. The CCM Marketing Committee will be reviewing the report during their next meeting to compare it with our own estimates and discuss its accuracy.

 

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